polling on HotAir

polling

Nov 2020

Another NY Times take on 2020 polling concludes the problem is ‘alarming’ (but never really says why)

John Sexton Nov 12, 2020 7:35 PM

“By the final weeks of this year’s campaign, the polls seemed to be telling a clear story”

NY Times’ Nate Cohn: ‘national polls were even worse than they were four years ago’

John Sexton Nov 10, 2020 3:24 PM

“…very similar to the polling misfire of four years ago”

2020 polling part 3: Bad polling shaped the election

John Sexton Nov 06, 2020 5:17 PM

“We were operating in a reality that wasn’t reality…”

2020 polling part 2: Incompetence or partisanship? Pollsters need to explain their failure…again

John Sexton Nov 06, 2020 3:16 PM

“If 2016 didn’t prove it, 2020 certainly did: the polling industry is in crisis.”

2020 polling part 1: It was really, really bad…again

John Sexton Nov 06, 2020 1:10 PM

Clearly, there’s a problem.

Frank Luntz: I apologize to Trump’s pollster for doubting him on how tight these races would be

Allahpundit Nov 04, 2020 6:05 PM

Regrets.

Political polling is so last century

Jazz Shaw Nov 04, 2020 3:10 PM

Are we done with it? Don’t bet on it

Susan Collins wins re-election despite never having led in a single poll

John Sexton Nov 04, 2020 2:04 PM

Her opponent raised more than $60 million.

Sep 2020

NYT: No sign in new polls of three red-leaning states that Ginsburg vacancy has changed anything

Allahpundit Sep 24, 2020 1:31 PM

Stasis.

Pelosi on House floor: We support peaceful protesters but not looters and rioters

Allahpundit Sep 17, 2020 4:01 PM

“They should be prosecuted. That is lawlessness.”

Is New York City close to finally dumping the Democrats?

Jazz Shaw Sep 03, 2020 4:01 PM

Probably not, but it may be getting closer

Aug 2020

Trump: We’re sending sheriffs and other law enforcement to polling places on November 3

Allahpundit Aug 21, 2020 6:11 PM

“We’re going to have everything.”

Jul 2020

Report: Internal polling shows Trump behind in Georgia — and Kansas

Allahpundit Jul 03, 2020 11:07 AM

Hmmmm.

Jun 2020

Fox News’s pollster is just messing with Trump now

Allahpundit Jun 25, 2020 10:01 PM

Uh oh.

A “fair and decent society” in America?

Jazz Shaw Jun 23, 2020 6:01 PM

The good ole’ days

May 2020

Biden’s poison poll numbers

Jazz Shaw May 04, 2020 6:31 PM

Bring out yer dead, er… yutes

Apr 2020

“I’m not losing to Joe Biden”: Campaign confronted Trump with “grim” polling data to try to get him to cancel daily briefings

Allahpundit Apr 29, 2020 8:41 PM

“He’s p*ssed because he knows he messed up in those briefings.”

Poll: Biden’s national lead over Trump disappears

Jazz Shaw Apr 13, 2020 9:21 AM

Horse race

Mar 2020

New polls: Joementum is real and it might be spectacular

Allahpundit Mar 03, 2020 11:21 AM

Mo.

Feb 2020

Gallup: Trump’s job approval now net positive for the first time in his presidency

Allahpundit Feb 20, 2020 2:01 PM

49/48.

Trump matches personal best job approval in RCP average, highest in more than three years

Allahpundit Feb 19, 2020 8:41 PM

Surge.

On to New Hampshire, and Bernie’s looking pretty good

Jazz Shaw Feb 04, 2020 9:21 AM

Too close to call, though

The mystery of CNN’s disappearing Iowa poll

Jazz Shaw Feb 02, 2020 9:31 AM

Hrmmm…

Dec 2019

Why did Kamala Harris’s campaign fail? She may not know how polling works

Jazz Shaw Dec 17, 2019 12:31 PM

Politics is hard

New Suffolk and CNN polls gives Trump some needed good news

Jazz Shaw Dec 17, 2019 8:01 AM

He’s even leading Biden

Sure looks like Mike Pompeo’s going to have to quit the State Department and run for Senate

Allahpundit Dec 13, 2019 7:21 PM

“If Mike Pompeo doesn’t run, we don’t have a prayer.”

Politico: Sure looks like impeachment is “a liability” in key House Dem districts

Ed Morrissey Dec 06, 2019 12:01 PM

“The left is clearly losing the messaging battle over impeachment …”

Nov 2019

Dems privately admit: Public opinion on impeachment probably isn’t going to shift much

Allahpundit Nov 14, 2019 10:41 PM

“Abuse of power is not necessarily a concept that most Americans run around thinking about.”

Oct 2019

Which two Dems have strongest ground game? It may surprise you.

Karen Townsend Oct 14, 2019 2:01 PM

In the early primary states.

Sep 2019

Steyer makes the cut for October debates

Jazz Shaw Sep 09, 2019 9:21 AM

How that happened is anybody’s guess

Aug 2019

The Hill to Dems: C’mon, you only have four real presidential contenders

Ed Morrissey Aug 26, 2019 8:01 PM

Monmouth: Dead three-way heat?

Stacey Abrams: Republicans could send off-duty law enforcement into polling places next year to intimidate minority voters

Allahpundit Aug 14, 2019 8:41 PM

“For the first time since 1981, the RNC will be allowed to cheat and lie and go into polling places and scare voters, particularly voters of color.”

Jun 2019

Bernie on why Warren is gaining on him: Let’s face it, some people want to nominate a woman

Allahpundit Jun 20, 2019 8:01 PM

Hoo boy.

Could AOC be “one and done” next year?

Jazz Shaw Jun 18, 2019 10:31 AM

No longer Miss Popularity

May 2019

We finally have some solid polling numbers on de Blasio and, um…

Jazz Shaw May 22, 2019 1:31 PM

It could be worse. No… on second thought, it probably couldn’t

WaPo: No really, how did angry Dems flock to Joe Biden?

Ed Morrissey May 20, 2019 8:41 PM

Three words: Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

Gillibrand has new excuse for polling below one percent

Jazz Shaw May 14, 2019 12:31 PM

I bet you can guess what it is

Panic on the Left? Progressives target Biden as polling soars

Ed Morrissey May 07, 2019 8:01 PM

The Biden-Bernie level and the Everyone-Else level.

Apr 2019

The Buttigieg boomlet is getting boomier in Iowa

Jazz Shaw Apr 23, 2019 12:31 PM

Dancing with the political stars

In Canada, Trudeau is sinking in the polls

Jazz Shaw Apr 10, 2019 7:31 PM

Not quite so popular

Early MA polling not good for Warren, but Mayor Pete surprisingly strong

Jazz Shaw Apr 08, 2019 12:31 PM

The amazing shrinking candidate

Mar 2019

The dark horse candidate “boomlets” are building

Jazz Shaw Mar 29, 2019 8:01 AM

A boomlet still isn’t a boom

Pete Buttigieg is picking up a following in Iowa

Jazz Shaw Mar 25, 2019 12:31 PM

Maybe less of a dark horse than we thought

Feb 2019

Poll: Trump leads Elizabeth Warren in Iowa by four — until Howard Schultz enters the picture

Allahpundit Feb 04, 2019 8:01 PM

Oh my.