Live Election Night results: Pennsylvania, New York, New Hampshire

AP Photo/Mary Altaffer, Pool

UPDATE: (Ed) 11:09.

Kathy Hochul won election in New York, defeating Lee Zeldin. That was a long shot for Republicans as well, but Zeldin ran about as good a campaign as anyone could have hoped for. New York is still New York, though.

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UPDATE: (Ed) 11:02.

Shapiro won the PA gubernatorial race, but that was also no surprise. Fetterman looks to be doing well so far too, but it’s too early to call that one.

UPDATE: (Ed) 10:42 pm.

Hassan made good on her Akin Strategy. DDHQ calls the NH Senate race for Hassan and a Democrat hold:

Bolduc was a long shot, but Republicans had hoped he might still close the deal. It was closer than Democrats imagined when they pushed him in the primaries. Still, that limits the GOP’s options for taking control of the upper chamber, especially with Republican candidates looking a little weaker than anticipated thus far.

UPDATE: (Jazz) 10:01 pm.

As anticipated, virtually all of the races we are watching in these races are too close to call. When will we know? Stay tuned and check in wi the live results below.

UPDATE: (Jazz) 9:25 pm.

The early New York Governor’s race is, as expected, leaning toward incumbent Kathy Hochul, but only by a slim margin. The city returns their results earlier, but Hochul is holding on to a slim lead.

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UPDATE: (Jazz) 9:03 pm.

Another non-surprise in New York. Chuck Schumer will win another term in the Senate. Will Kathy Hochul still be the Governor? You can probably wait until the morning to find out. This one will be close.

UPDATE: (Jazz) 8:10 pm.

It will likely come as not much of a surprise that the Senate race in Pennsylvania is far too early to call. Fetterman is leading handily in the initial numbers, but that is mostly a result of the early, mail-in votes, where Democrats do far better. This is similar to the Georgia Governor’s race where Stacey Abrams was given a large, double-digit lead initially. Now that the election-day votes are coming in, those margins are shrinking quickly. We’ll stay on top of this one, but we may not even get a result this evening.

(Original article continues below.)

Welcome to our election night coverage for the closely watched races in Pennsylvania, New York and New Hampshire. The polls close at 8 pm eastern in Pennsylvania and 9 pm in New York. Because New Hampshire is so stubbornly independent, polls in different areas can close whenever they like, as long as it’s no earlier than 7. So it will be well into the evening before we get an idea as to whether any winners will be declared or if we’ll be kept waiting for days due to “unforeseen complications.” If any updates are merited before the bedtime of old fogeys like me, we’ll add them at the top of the page. Below, you will find constantly updating widgets with the numbers from the various races as they become available, so check back as needed.

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Pennsylvania

The hottest ticket in the Keystone State will clearly be the Senate Race between Dr. Oz and the stroke-addled Democrat, John Fetterman. Record numbers of people voted early and by mail which should produce two effects to keep an eye out for. First, that means that a lot of people cast their votes before Fetterman’s disastrous trainwreck of a debate, so that may work to his advantage. But the early voting split was 70/30 in favor of Democrats. That means that the early count may be Republican-heavy, but as the mail-in ballots are counted, Democrats might see a late surge. That doesn’t necessarily mean that there’s any hanky-panky going on, but we’ll keep our eyes open just the same.

The governor’s race seems to have slipped out of the Republicans’ reach at this point. But you may want to keep an eye on the 7th Congressional District where Republican Susan Wild appears to have pulled into a tie or even a slight lead after trailing her Democratic opponent in September.

New York

There should be plenty of action to monitor in New York for a change. The normally solid blue state has been experiencing an upheaval this season. Unelected Governor Kathy Hochul was still a slight favorite to win during the last round of polling, but she has been neck and neck with Republican Congressman Lee Zeldin. I won’t be holding my breath, but if Zeldin pulls this out it will hit New York like a magnitude 7 political earthquake.

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We’ll also be watching the overall basket of congressional races. The recent redistricting has made four or possibly even five districts considerably more competitive, with some even leaning toward the GOP. If an actual red wave is coming ashore, New York’s congressional delegation could deliver yet another significant batch of flipped seats to a potential House Majority for the Republicans.

New Hampshire

The big story out of the Granite State is obviously the Senate race where Republican Don Bolduc is trying to unseat Democrat Maggie Hassan. Hassan had previously been expected to bring in another close but reliable victory. But the race has been polling within one or two points for weeks now and the momentum appeared to be swinging Bolduc’s way. If he can pull this off, it will take some of the pressure off of the other tight Senate races around the country and create a smoother path to the GOP retaking the majority.

New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District features a Republican woman, Karoline Leavitt, who would be the youngest woman ever elected to Congress if she unseats her opponent, incumbent Democrat Chris Pappas. That race is currently in the toss-up category, with the last two polls prior to the election showing the candidates either tied or Leavitt having a small lead.

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The tracking widgets I promised above follow:

 

 

Don’t forget that we’re not just covering the midterms tonight but are preparing for the all-important 2024 presidential cycle as well. We need to make sure Democrats are one and done in the White House, too. If you want real in-depth analysis and exclusive content and wish to support the long-term mission, join HotAir VIP today and use promo code VIPWEEK to receive 45% off your membership!

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Stephen Moore 8:30 AM | December 15, 2024
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