Reform UK, the little upstart party that could, has been steadily marching along as Starmer stumbles and bumbles his way through governing. Nigel Farage's populist movement has been gobbling up both Labour defectors, the odd open election council seats, and the continuing approval of an ever larger majority of the British voting public.
A new poll was released that has Reform UK surging to what could be considered an astronomical lead.
Reform UK is now 18 percentage points ahead of Labour and the Conservatives.
— Visegrád 24 (@visegrad24) September 19, 2025
Unless there’s a major shake-up before the next election, Nigel Farage will become the UK’s next Prime Minister
🇬🇧 pic.twitter.com/nS0PrWRtpx
The caveat being, of course, that it's all well and good on paper, but the fact is there's not a general election scheduled in the country for another four years.
The way the UK is going, quite a lot of dismal can happen between now and then, which might completely negate Farage's enormous popularity and potential assumption of the 10 Downing Street residence.
As someone in the comments on this Xweet alluded to, remember that sure thing, Prime Minister of Canada, Pierre Poilievre?
Yeah. Neither do we.
Two solid years of commanding polls were extinguished in the blink of an eye.
So, this is going to be a delicate balancing act for Farage and Reform. On their side of the balance sheet, however, is a Labour government so inept, so offensive to the average Brit, that Reform glows with a near heavenly light in comparison just by maintaining its rational and sane posture.
The 'us' vs 'them' divide isn't hurting Reform either. The more patrician and out-of-touch that Starmer and his elitist crew look, the more Reform takes it to the bank with regular people - the kind Labour used to represent.
Fascinating that Reform leads among voters who went to state school and grammar school.
— Zia Yusuf (@ZiaYusufUK) September 17, 2025
Labour only leads among those who went to private school.
Labour is the party of the privileged elite.
Sheltered from the disastrous policies they inflict and out of touch. pic.twitter.com/75j6vesIdw
There's also been some movement in parts of the UK, like Scotland and Wales.
A long-held Labour council seat has just gone to Reform as another pick-up, and the predictions for continued success are big and bold.
— PollCheck (@poll_check) September 19, 2025
In fact, it's looking so grim for Labour in the upcoming Welsh Parliamentary (Senedd Cymru) elections that the Telegraph UK is characterising it as an impending 'wipeout.' Reform is projected to rank neck and neck with the Welsh nationalist party (Plaid Cymru) in seat gains.
Labour faces wipeout in Wales as Reform’s popularity surges
...Sir Keir Starmer’s party currently holds 29 seats out of 60 in the Senedd but is expected to slump to 11 seats when the parliament is expanded to 96 members under a new proportional system next May.
The vote in Wales will coincide with elections in Scotland, Wales and dozens of local councils, which are being seen as make-or-break for Sir Keir’s embattled premiership.
A YouGov/ITV Wales poll found that Plaid Cymru, the Welsh nationalist party, is now polling at 30 per cent with Nigel Farage’s Reform at 29 per cent.
Labour is on 14 per cent – an indication of the party’s dramatic collapse in popularity since winning 40 per cent of the vote at the 2021 Senedd election.
The Conservatives are polling at 11 per cent, down from 26 per cent in 2021, amid suggestions next May’s elections could also spell danger for Kemi Badenoch’s leadership.
The omens are so dire for Labour that Starmer's future as prime minister is in doubt should the predicted wipeout come to pass in both the Welsh and Scottish elections this spring.
...Labour MPs on the Left of the party have predicted Sir Keir will be ousted in May if the local, Scottish and Welsh elections go as badly as polls suggest.
Richard Burgon, a shadow minister under Jeremy Corbyn, said it was “inevitable” that the Prime Minister would have to go if next year’s ballots were a “complete disaster” for Labour.
Mr Burgon said: “The opinion polls at the moment suggest that, as it stands, it’s going to be a disaster.
“And I think it is inevitable that if May’s elections go as people predict and as the opinion polls predict, then I think Starmer will be gone at that time.”
One of the Labour MPs even threw in an Old West Americanism. I guess that means Starmer's really in trouble.
...Graham Stringer, senior Labour MP and former leader of Manchester city council, told Times Radio on Sunday: “[Sir Keir] is supping in the last-chance saloon."
With the way Starmer's going, he may not make it to May and have to abandon ship sooner, as mad as the country is already, and the way he keeps piling logs on his own pyre.
The latest outrage is the word leaking that the European Union, in order for that august body to approve the food safety agreement Starmer's been negotiating with them as part of his 'Great Reset,' is demanding that an England - already swarmed by immigrants of every description - allow more 'European youth' to live and work in England as part of the agreement.
They'd also be attending UK schools at resident rates.
It seems the Prime Minister is about to sell out Britain’s new graduates so he can bask in Brussels’s approval.
As reported by The Telegraph, the EU is demanding the Government allow a greater number of young Europeans the right to live and work in Britain before it finalises Sir Keir Starmer’s food safety agreement, which is one of his Brexit reset priorities.
This, at a time when the jobs market has turned sour, will only make our young peoples’ economic prospects even worse. They need more support, not more competition.
Given Sir Keir’s track record on all things EU-related, I don’t hold out much of hope of him doing anything other than acquiescing to Brussels’s blackmail.
All these 'European youths' will be special flowers.
...But the only number that makes sense is zero. Work permits are already available, so why make special provision for European youngsters when our own are struggling to find work? Just this week, James Reed, the CEO of recruitment company Reed, was urging middle-class young people to go get manual labour jobs because graduate openings have dropped from 180,000 to 55,000 in the last four years.
With the calamitous economic policies of Rachel Reeves and the emergence of AI eating away at young peoples’ futures, bringing in tens of thousands more Europeans is madness.
And there’s more. While our existing youth mobility schemes, such as those with Australia and India, require an advance health surcharge payment to cover any use of the NHS, the EU wants these costs waived.
Gosh. Why doesn't anyone care for Keir?
Hopes are high.
Outstanding day for Reform UK!!!
— Alexander Kokkinoftas 🇬🇧 (@AlexReformUK) September 19, 2025
The landslide is inevitable!!!
North Somerset is proud to be a part of the turquoise tidal wave!!!🩵 pic.twitter.com/QpwAtJlxFY
Sustaining it will be the key.
And keeping the country from collapsing in the meantime.
I did want to share something in the Farage vein, but slightly off topic.
There was a rather nice report on GB News concerning Donald Trump's visit and our president's wondering why Farage hadn't been invited along with the other party leaders.
'The President was confused on why Nigel Farage wasn't there...'@BeverleyTurner discusses US President's reaction to the absence of Reform UK leader Nigel Farage from Donald Trump's State Visit. pic.twitter.com/UhnijHfeEa
— GB News (@GBNEWS) September 19, 2025
...But actually, Donald Trump said, 'It's not my place to ask.' He's so polite about that sort of thing, contrary to what the opinion might be about him being something of a braggart. He would never have the lack of manners to go to the king ot go to Keir Starmer and say, 'Can you invite Nigel Farage, please.' He would never...'
To hear a foreign correspondent speak like that about your president...does your heart good, you know?
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