What we’re hearing: One source close to leadership told us: “Scuttlebutt is that Paul will have to step down from speakership soon. Members won’t follow a lame duck, he’ll have no leverage to cut deals, and the last thing they need in this environment is 6 months of palace intrigue and everyone stabbing everyone else in the back.”

A senior GOP House member predicted this about Ryan’s future: “He will be gone by the end of July.”

Some big donors, who have given millions to Ryan this cycle, may not want him to stay on as speaker if the entire party is taking on water.