Abortion Once Again at Forefront of Election

Trump is right in saying that “many states will be different.” Since 2022 there have been 14 states, all governed by Republicans, which have placed new abortion restrictions in effect that essentially bans it at every stage.

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However, several other states, either through ballot measures, executive order, or legislative action, have kept a woman’s right to abortion services legal – including the three critically important states of Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. Those Rust Belt redoubts will mostly likely decide who the next president of the United States will be, and which party holds the majority in the Senate.

This is the current Republican senate candidates Bernie Moreno in Ohio and David McCormick in Pennsylvania (Michigan’s primary is not until August) must navigate. But are these headwinds as strong as Democrats assume?

Ed Morrissey

I suspect that Democrats may find that the law of diminishing returns applies. In the most recent Harvard/Harris CAPS poll, abortion came in fourth among Democrats for their most important issue. When asked to choose multiple issues of interest in the upcoming election, only 14% of the sample chose "women's rights" as an important issue, putting it in seventh place overall. 

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