Behold the single scariest poll of the campaign to date, one which, if true, would almost certainly mean a blue tsunami is on the way.
It’s so scary, in fact, that political reporters and data nerds are sniffing at it as far-fetched, with good reason. Recent polls of Iowa have Ernst trailing Democrat Theresa Greenfield by two or three points. Not, uh, 12.
The number that jumps out here is the split among men. Trump won men in Iowa by 28 points en route to an easy victory in the state. The GOP hasn’t lost 35 points among men there since then, needless to say.