Americans have moved in a more negative direction on the basic issue of whether a new bill should be passed into law. Thirty-eight percent now say they would advise their member of Congress to vote against a new healthcare bill this year, while 29% would advise their member to vote for it, and about a third have no opinion. When those with no opinion are asked which way they lean, the verdict becomes 48% “against,” and 43% “for.” Both of these results are more negative than those from early October.
Forget the number who say “vote against.” Compare the number who say “vote for” to those with no opinion. From +15 to -4 in … one month:
If you’re wondering how this shakes out in ideological terms, especially after the independent wave towards the GOP in Virginia and New Jersey, feast your eyes:
If you include leaners, indies break 37/53. I don’t know how to explain the off-the-cliff decline in those who’d tell their reps to vote yes on the bill. Presumably it’s either (a) a backlash to the public option being included in both the House and Senate bills, which is unlikely since the public option tends to poll well, or (b) the public starting to focus on the particulars of the House and Senate plans now that they’ve been concretized in bill form. Don’t assume too much about the latter, though: This poll was conducted from November 5th to the 8th, which means most of the samples were taken before PelosiCare passed. The best we can do by way of an after-the-fact poll is Rasmussen, who asked likely voters on Saturday and Sunday whether they favor or oppose the program. Result: 45/52, which is surprisingly close to what CNN found when they polled adults last week. If the next polls show a public backlash to PelosiCare’s passage, the Senate’s going to gag on this even more than they already are.