The poll found that 55% of Catholics support or lean towards supporting former President Donald Trump in a head-to-head against Biden.
Conversely, only 43% of Catholics support Biden in the same one-on-one pairing.
The 12% margin of support in favor of Trump marks a significant shift from 2020, when he held an extremely narrow lead — 50% to 49%.
Interesting, and perhaps a very big red flag for Democrats. There really isn't a distinct Catholic vote in the US any longer; it's more a bellwether for the general electorate. And that would be very bad news for Biden if this turns out to be predictive.
You can go directly to Pew to see the rest of the data. Their sample didn't include enough Jewish or Muslim voters for demographic reporting on those subsets, but I'd bet that Democrats will see a substantial loss among the former, and maybe the latter too.
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