reallyThe conservative Law and Justice (PiS) party is on top with almost 30 percent over the vote, according to the latest United Surveys poll for portal Wirtualna Polska, while Donald Tusk’s Civic Coalition (KO) has the support of just over 28 percent of those surveyed. Most polls show these two parties as being neck and neck, so this is no surprise. 

The shock in this poll is the fact that the right-wing Confederation party has taken third place with 8.5 percent of the vote, and Tusk’s coalition partner, the Third Way alliance comprising Szymon Hołownia’s Poland 2050 and PSL, is fourth with just under 8 percent of the vote, only beating the Left party by 0.1 percent. The Third Way noted a decline of as much as 5.6 percentage points compared to a survey from a week ago.

Seven percent of the sample wanted to vote for non-party or other party slates, and 11 percent were undecided as to who they would support. The projected turnout was just over 53 percent, down from the record high of nearly 75 percent of the parliamentary elections, but in line with turnout for local elections in the past.