Red wave watch: GOP +4 on party affiliation -- and +6 with leaners

GALLUP POLL: Do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat or an Independent? (with Indie leaners)

Republican — 48% (R+6)
Democrat — 42%
Pure Indies no lean — 10%

Trends:
⦿ Oct 2018: 42/53 (D+11)
⦿ Oct 2014: 47/41 (R+6)
⦿ Oct 2010: 45/43 (R+2)https://t.co/IOe3jiubeU pic.twitter.com/HiQdI6Kqkd

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) November 6, 2022

[Consider this when looking at the WaPo/ABC sample and those of other pollsters. Gallup is a very reliable standard on this indicator. Pollsters are modeling for a very different electorate than the one coming out in this cycle. — Ed]