Why Trump could lose the nomination even if legal troubles energize his base

Other Republican candidates would be running for president with the possibility of serving two terms. Republican rivals could regularly use that fact to contrast themselves with Trump. It would be a way to differentiate themselves without bashing Trump’s policies or criticizing him personally.

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“At the end of the day people will be looking through the prism of electability,” said Sam Nunberg, who worked on Trump’s 2016 campaign. “Ultimately, he can only serve one term. That’s a reason that some voters may be skeptical of voting for him. He’s a lame duck by around June of 2025.”

Some Republican insiders think there might be a lane for someone who might be able to appeal to Trump’s base but without his political and legal baggage.

“They’re tired of the drama all the time,” said a GOP operative who works for a potential 2024 candidate.

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