That brings Trump’s record in competitive races to seven wins and four losses — a 64% winning percentage. That’s not bad, but it’s not nearly as good as the padded win-loss record Trump world promotes.

The Pennsylvania experience appears to be particularly embarrassing, with aides to the former president telling CNN’s Gabby Orr that he “may hold off on more endorsements for coming primaries.” She adds that Trump allies “say he is feeling more risk-averse” now that “his endorsement of celebrity doctor Mehmet Oz failed to translate into a decisive win.”

Out in Idaho, McGeachin didn’t just lose — she got trounced, 52.8%-32.2%. And the old national GOP establishment is looking to the state to understand what happened.

Aside from the endorsement, Trump didn’t spend much political capital on the race and McGeachin ran a poor campaign dominated by her associations with militias and white supremacists. “She never really got her campaign together,” said a Little adviser, “and was never able to use that endorsement to raise much money.”