Yet with Trump flailing even in places like Utah and Georgia, it’s remarkable that Senate Republicans are hanging around as they defend 24 seats to Democrats’ 10. Republicans acknowledge a near-sweep of the most contested states will be difficult, but take pride that Rob Portman of Ohio, McCain of Arizona and Chuck Grassley of Iowa look like locks for reelection.

“If I was a Democrat and I was counting on places like Missouri and Indiana in a very unstable election year for my majority, I would not be comfortable,” said Kevin McLaughlin, the deputy executive director of the National Republican Senatorial Committee. ”Even [Democratic] polling would show that voters in these six states don’t see Trump and Republicans as one and the same.”

Strategists from both parties privately also agree on this: An anti-Trump wave has yet to take shape across the Senate map. Democrats hope his refusal to say he’ll accept the election results will change that, but time is running out.

One wild card is Florida, where Democrats are engaged in an internal battle about whether to add the Sunshine State back into the battleground mix. President Barack Obama was just there hammering Marco Rubio, but Democratic groups have cut more than $15 million in ad buys. Some in the party are advocating that Rep. Patrick Murphy (D-Fla.) can win with a reinvestment of party resources, but the DSCC and Senate Majority PAC are for now unmoved.