Wisconsin final arguments: Cruz expected to win, but race could tighten

Put aside ARG. The other surveys have put an end to some of the speculation that Cruz’s lead might grow well beyond 10 points. “These polls have dampened some of that talk,” said one state Republican operative late Monday. “People still have the sense that things have shifted toward Cruz and he ought to win — the question is by how much, and will Trump win some delegates.”

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“He might win by 12,” said the operative, “and he might win by three.”

Sunday and Monday were the most conventional days of campaigning of any race that has Donald Trump in it. Trump poured it on, for him, with a bunch of rallies and even a (rare) traditional-style retail stop at a diner. Cruz did several rallies and town halls, and on Monday had a few appropriately Wisconsin-ish cheese-focused events, with a visit to Mars Cheese Castle in Kenosha and later to Glorioso’s, an Italian market in Milwaukee. Cruz’s daughters were valuable players during the retail portion of the day. At Mars, one of them tried, unsuccessfully, to put a cheesehead hat on her father, while at Glorioso’s, Cruz asked his daughter if he could have a taste of her raspberry sorbetto. She emphatically said no. “What are you gonna do?” Cruz said with a smile and a shrug.

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