“Republicans control the House, and no one seems to think that’s going to change in the near future. (And no, it’s not just because of gerrymandering.) On the other side of Capitol Hill, Democrats seem genuinely concerned about holding onto the Senate next year. As for the White House, Republicans have only lost two presidential elections in a row, both times in years where the fundamentals favored Democrats. And they continue to hold outsize majorities in state legislatures and governor’s mansions.” …

In his parenthetical on gerrymandering, he links to a blogpost he wrote just eight days after the November 2012 election. It’s a point I made in my February 17 Washington Examiner column. Because Democratic voters tend to be clustered in heavily Democratic central cities and university towns, while Republicans are more evenly spread out over the rest of the country, Republicans tend to have an advantage in any election decided by the results in equal-population districts.