Senate candidates with a six-point lead at this point are undefeated since 1998

That is a fantastic way of looking at things for Pat Toomey, as well as for Roy Blunt in Missouri, Rand Paul in Kentucky, Kelly Ayotte in New Hampshire, Ron Johnson in Wisconsin, Marco Rubio in Florida, and Dan Coats in Indiana.

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Oh, and John Boozman in Arkansas, John Hoeven in North Dakota and incumbents Richard Burr in North Dakota and David Vitter in Louisiana, but… come on. Those races have been effectively over for a while.

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