Gallup: Boy O Boy Is Brandon in Trouble


Joe Biden may be trying to revive his presidency by bringing out his inner "Dark Brandon," but according to all the polls the American people aren't buying it one little bit. 


It's just any poll. It's every poll. Including the granddaddy of them all, Gallup, which just released its new numbers on Biden's ratings with the voters, and the news is simply devastating

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Americans’ approval of President Joe Biden’s job performance has edged down three percentage points to 38%, just one point shy of his all-time low and well below the 50% threshold that has typically led to reelection for incumbents.

In addition, Biden registers subpar approval ratings for his handling of five key issues facing the U.S., including a new low of 28% for immigration and readings ranging from 30% to 40% for the situation in the Middle East between Israel and Hamas, foreign affairs, the economy and the situation in Ukraine.

Biden’s approval rating has not risen above 44% since August 2021, and his 39.8% average rating for his third year in office was the second worst among post-World War II presidents elected to their first term.


There really is no good news in this poll, although feelings about the economy have edged up a little bit, so that may be a ray of...well, not sunshine...but perhaps a 30-watt spotlight?

Even Democrats are not especially excited about Brandon, registering only about 75% approval at best on the most important issues, which is hardly a ringing endorsement. 

Democrats largely approve of Biden’s handling of the economy (75%), the situation in Ukraine (72%) and foreign affairs (69%). However, bare majorities of Democrats approve of the president’s handling of immigration (55%) and the Middle East situation (51%). Biden’s ratings among Democrats have dipped on the situations in the Middle East (-9 points) and Ukraine (-6 points) and on immigration (-7 points).

Meanwhile, Biden has gained some ground among independents on the economy (+6 points to 30%). Still, their ratings on this and other issues are weak -- ranging from 23% for the Middle East situation to 34% for the Ukraine situation.

Look at those numbers on immigration and foreign affairs. Truly devastating, and probably unrecoverable. 

People have developed pretty fixed ideas about Biden by now. What more is there to know about him after more than 3 years in office? His approval rating has been dropping since 2021, and reversing a trend like that would take more than a few months, even if things start to get better. 


Things won't be getting better any time soon, so Biden is left trying to buy off each constituency one at a time, as with the student loan "forgiveness."

Biden's chances in the election look awful when you look at the betting markets. You can make of that what you will, since the 2016 betting was more than a bit off the mark. 

Biden is given, essentially, a 28% chance of sitting in the Oval Office on January 21st, 2025. Trump is at 44%. 

I'm not sure if people are taking into account any rigging of the rules or adverse legal events for Trump, but I suspect even those are baked into the betting. That is, after all, what betting markets are intended to do. 

Predicting outcomes is hard, especially about the future, so take all this with a grain of salt. However, it is clear that right now people aren't buying what Biden is selling. 

Not even Democrats. 

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