It’s almost like polling agencies purposely choose Monday so news agencies are sure to have things to talk about.
Capt. Ed has already broken down the PPP polls for tomorrow’s primary states and I pointed out a new Gallup poll showing how Hillary can barely capture the attention of women in her own party. Those counted beans along with the story of the Cruz/Kasich Concord has been plenty to keep our collective tongues wagging, but this latest national poll from George Washington University deserves attention.
The eyebrow-raising buried lede is found as almost an afterthought in the 5th paragraph (emphasis mine):
In a head-to-head matchup of each party’s frontrunner, Mrs. Clinton leads Mr. Trump by only 3 percentage points nationally (46 to 43; 11 percent undecided). Comparatively, Mr. Sanders fares slightly better against Mr. Trump (51/40/10).
That’s a shocker.
Considering the deeply contentious and never-ending GOP primary coupled with the #NeverTrump movement and the unorthodox campaign style of the New York billionaire, a poll showing him in a statistical dead heat with Clinton is reason to celebrate on the highest floors of 57th and 5th.
These results fly in the face of the thorough and detailed analysis by many political observers including our Townhall colleague Guy Benson who’s been methodical in his argument that Trump can’t win head-to-head against Team Hillary.
The GW poll does support a major aspect of the #NeverTrump argument: His sky-high unfavorable ratings. Today’s poll puts Trump’s unfavorable at 65%, which is consistent with other recent favorable/unfavorable polls. However, the other candidates aren’t so popular either:
The GW poll found that of the five candidates still in the race for the highest office, only two—Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and Ohio governor John Kasich—have an unfavorable rating below 50 percent, at 44 and 29, respectively. The other three—former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (56 percent), Texas Senator Ted Cruz (55 percent) and businessman Donald Trump (65 percent)—are all mostly disliked.
So, logically, these numbers suggest that perhaps voters are resigned to the fact that their choice in November will be between two highly unlikable candidates and they just can’t decide which one they hate less.
The “he’ll get demolished by Hillary” talking point is probably the strongest argument made by the #NeverTrump camp as they make the case for a contested convention and the selection of a candidate emerging from Cleveland who has to “save the party” despite the fact they didn’t gain the most Republican votes in the primary process. This poll, if it’s not an outlier, may very well begin to erode that argument.