I can’t figure out the strategy here.
Initially I couldn’t figure out the strategy of him going to Georgia either but upon reflection it made sense. Just because the polls in a given state are tight doesn’t necessarily mean it’s worth a visit. The question is whether you have a reasonable chance of winning *and* whether winning that state would move you appreciably towards 270. Georgia would. As strange as it is to imagine a Democrat losing Florida but winning Georgia, the combination of a large black electorate in the latter state, support for Biden among suburbanites nationally, and two strong turnout operations built by Dems like Stacey Abrams and Jon Ossoff in place means Biden has a fair shot at an upset. And if he pulls it off, his path to the White House gets vastly easier. All he would need to do is hold Hillary’s 2016 states and flip Michigan and Wisconsin, two Rust Belt states where he’s favored. You could give Trump every other battleground — Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, even Pennsylvania — and Biden still wins.
Georgia has 16 electoral votes, a tempting prize. Iowa has … six. How does that justify a visit?