In Nevada and Pennsylvania, Latino Voters Are Shifting Toward Trump

AP Photo/Tom Mihalek, File

Jazz wrote about a new NBC poll over the weekend which showed Donald Trump was overperforming with Latino voters. Harris still won Latinos 54-40 as a group but that margin is much narrower than it has been in the last four elections.

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This week there have been a couple of stories about Latino voters in swing states who seem to be shifting toward the Republican Party. In Nevada for instance.

President Biden barely squeezed out a victory in Nevada, in part by winning 60% of the Latino vote, but polls suggest Donald Trump has stronger Latino support than previous Republican campaigns.

It's here in Las Vegas where Trump unveiled his plan to eliminate taxes on tips, seen as a direct pitch largely to Latino workers who make up the backbone of the state's casino and hospitality industry...

Ted Pappageorge, secretary-treasurer for the Culinary Workers Union, admits Nevada, “to be honest, should be Trump territory.”

Tony Fabrizio, a pollster for the Trump campaign, told NPR, "I don't care whose national poll you look at — even yours, from NPR — it is really very clear that she is underperforming with Hispanics, not only nationally, but in these two key states."

And in the critical swing state of Pennsylvania, the Philadelphia Inquirer reports the same shift is happening, even in deep blue Philly.

Gabriel Lopez grew up in a family of Democrats in the Kensington neighborhood of deep-blue Philadelphia. So in 2016, the first presidential election he was old enough to vote in, he picked Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump.

But Lopez, now 27, says his views have changed. He switched his registration to Republican this year, and he plans to vote for Trump, who’s running for president a third time...

Harris’ best opportunity to run up her vote total is in Philly, where 20% of the state’s Democrats live, but where Democrats bled more votes in 2020 than in any other county. Biden performed worse than Clinton in 41 of the city’s 66 political wards...

The trend was consistent across racial groups, though it was most pronounced in majority-Latino neighborhoods.

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The story offers this striking factoid about voter registration in the city.

Since the end of 2023, the GOP gained more than 10,300 registrants in Philadelphia, while Democrats netted about 9,800, according to data from the Department of State. The number of unaffiliated voters is roughly flat.

But beyond the shift in registrations, Democrats may have an enthusiasm problem. One SEIU member told the Inquirer the biggest challenge was convincing people to vote at all.

I'll wrap this up with an NBC News report from a couple days ago. This includes reports from both Nevada and Pennsylvania.

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Ed Morrissey 10:00 PM | November 07, 2024
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