The big picture: There have only been 31 recounts in the past 20 years, out of more than 5,700 statewide general elections, according to FairVote’s analysis.
Three of those recounts overturned results, but they only shifted the final margin by 239-440 votes.
The median margin shift after a recount is 0.015% of the total count. The largest margin shift ever seen in a statewide race was 0.11% — much smaller than what Trump would need in order to hang onto the White House.
High turnout and millions of Americans voting by mail for the first time in 2020 could lead to more human error in ballot counting, but it’s not likely to be enough to make a difference, Otis said.