The big picture: Trump’s push for a U.S.-Mexico border wall and hardline immigration policies make him unpopular with many Hispanic voters. But he has successfully courted other Hispanic-Americans, including evangelicals, those who are a generation removed from immigration, and those of Cuban and Venezuelan descent who respond to his anti-socialism message.
Trump is benefiting from “stronger support among evangelical protestant Hispanics who see a clearcut difference between Trump and Biden on faith-based issues,” said Rice University Professor Mark Jones.
“Regardless of what Trump does, even though it alienates Latino elites, there’s a certain segment that isn’t alienated by him,” said Jones. “Trump appears to have a floor with Hispanics.”
By the numbers: Biden led Trump 56%-36% with Hispanics in a national Quinnipiac survey taken after both parties’ August nominating conventions — a 20-point spread that’s significantly narrower than the 38-point lead Clinton had in an average of pre-election polls in 2016.