The suburbs: The suburbs gave the House of Representatives to Democrats in 2018, and Republicans know the suburbs could give the White House to Democrats in 2020. Big numbers of suburban voters want tighter gun laws. That’s the hard political logic of why Rick Scott and Florida Republicans passed new gun safety laws after the Parkland shooting.

Troubles at the NRA: The nation’s legendary, feared gun rights group isfacing an internal coup attempt, charges of executive embezzlement and misspending, and a serious investigation into its nonprofit status. It’s a consuming internal crisis. That makes it a lot harder to go around threatening politicians, or to scare anyone.