Even with the enormous resources of the FSB, how likely was it that Vladimir Putin would be able to contact Trump and his associates, negotiate the terms of the collusion, and act out the conspiracy over a period of several months without any U.S. intelligence agency finding any evidence of the collusion at all?

If you were an American intelligence agency and you uncovered evidence of an American presidential candidate in cahoots with Russia to hack the computers of the rival party, you would sound every possible alarm immediately, right? Why would you wait around on something like this?

The longer Special Counsel Mueller’s probe went on, the less likely it seemed that he had some sort of smoking gun that pointed to Trump working with Russia — much less the idea that Trump had been a Russian asset for years, as a New York magazine cover piece speculated in July.