In a survey of 2,075 likely Republican, Democratic and independent voters from Oct. 27-30, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton led Trump by 5 points, 52 percent to 47 percent, among 1,249 respondents reached by phone. Among the 825 likely voters surveyed during an identical online interview, Clinton’s lead dipped 2 points, but she still leads Trump, 51 percent to 48 percent.
Trump’s one point gain with voters online versus on the phone is statistically insignificant and within the poll’s margin of error of 3 percent.
However, Trump’s edge over Clinton online instead of in phone polling is especially pronounced among people with a college degree or people who make more than $50,000.
Just as we found in our December study, more-educated voters were notably less likely to say they were supporting Trump during a phone poll than in an online survey. Trump was the top choice for 39 percent of voters reached by phone who have a bachelor’s or post-graduate degree, compared with 46 percent of online respondents with the same levels of education. The opposite effect occurs for Clinton: In phone polls, Clinton is the first choice for 60 percent of those voters, a number that drops 7 points (to 53 percent) in online surveys.