But the bottom line is this, aides close the situation say: Despite talk about how the White House wants to ram the measure through, resolve among terrified Democrats will likely crack if not crumble, even if Coakley somehow manages to pull out a win.

“If Nancy Pelosi pulls this off, she will be remembered as the greatest Speaker in the history of the United States,” said a Democratic aide at the center of the health care talks. “Even though we all know how bad it will be on Wednesday morning, we don’t know until we live it… The psychology will be totally different and working against getting anything done at all.”