Conservative Waukesha County Judge Brad Schimel is within “striking distance” of his liberal opponent, Dane County Judge Susan Crawford, in the Wisconsin State Supreme Court election scheduled for April 1, according to a new polling memo released Thursday by Elon Musk’s Building America’s Future group.

Schimel, the Republican Wisconsin Attorney General from 2015 to 2019, is trailing Crawford 48% to 43%, according to the political nonprofit group’s survey conducted from March 17-18. Though Crawford is leading her conservative opponent outside the poll’s four point margin-of-error, Musk’s political group argues that Schimel has the momentum in the race as negative ads from conservative groups highlight Crawford’s soft-on-crime record.

Schimel was thirteen points behind Crawford just two weeks ago, the poll conducted by the Tyson Group found. Crawford is also experiencing a “drastic erosion in her support” — a 12% drop in favorability — as voters learn more about the left-wing judge’s views, according to Musk’s group.

The Wisconsin State Supreme Court contest is one of the most consequential elections of 2025.  The race is projected to be the most expensive judicial contest of all time with spending expected to topple $100 million.