Could Trump Herald a New Era of Peace in the Middle East?

Donald Trump’s astounding return to the White House has the Middle East bracing for change. In Gaza, the West Bank, and beyond, Trump 2.0 could spark a major peace and reconstruction effort backed by regional Arab allies as part of a new series of Abraham Accords.

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In the year since the Hamas terror attacks on Israel on October 7, 2023, Israel has effectively rendered Hamas dysfunctional as a fighting force and governance apparatus. Its recently concluded war in Lebanon drove Hezbollah into hiding. Meanwhile, Hamas and Hezbollah’s master – the Mullah regime in Iran – appears stunned by Israel’s military successes and Trump’s seismic election victory. All the while, Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states are watching intently from the sidelines and jostling for new roles in the emerging Middle East.

A new peace and security deal between the US and the kingdom, structured by President Joe Biden’s national security team, is ready for signature and could be inserted into a new round of Abraham Accords negotiations that is expected soon after Trump takes office. The deal would ensure comprehensive security guarantees for Saudi Arabia and the Gulf underwritten by the US and is expected to include a strong component on Israel-Gulf peace and security. Trump takes pride in getting additional Gulf states to sign further rounds of Abraham Accords and his incoming administration would waste little time in sealing off something closer to peace in the Middle East.

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