If you look carefully at the polling data we’ve seen so far, it’s very clear that, in a way, this is a contest between Kamala Harris’s ability to jack up the college-educated vote – and hold down losses among the working class – and Trump’s ability to build on his advantages among the working class. These advantages are quite evident at this point. Trump has a much larger share of the non-white, working-class vote than Republicans are used to getting.

This is why I say that, in the end, it will be a working-class election. It will come down to the preferences of the working class, how many of them are kept down on the farm by the Democrats, and how many of them defect to the Republicans. That’s where the real swing voters are, in my opinion, and I think that’s really what this election is all about.