New: Q2 Real GDP Up 2.8%

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.8 percent in the second quarter of 2024 (table 1), according to the "advance" estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 1.4 percent. ...

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Disposable personal income increased $186.3 billion, or 3.6 percent, in the second quarter, compared with an increase of $240.2 billion, or 4.8 percent, in the first quarter. Real disposable personal income increased 1.0 percent, compared with an increase of 1.3 percent.


Ed Morrissey

This is a good report. These numbers are already adjusted for inflation ("real" designates inflation adjustment) so they measure real growth. For the unadjusted figures, look for "current-dollar" GDP (5.2%) and other measures. 

The only slightly sour note is a slight falloff on the rate of increase of real wages, but they are still increasing slightly faster than inflation. The personal savings rate declined slightly as well, but that's probably linked to the slight decline in the rate of wage growth. 

However, here's one big red flag: Real final sales of domestic product increased at 4.4%, which means some of this may be consumers burning through inventory. 

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