When former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan won the Republican primary race last month for the state’s open U.S. Senate seat, many experts speculated that would be his high-water mark and everything would go downhill from there.

Case in point: When Angela Alsobrooks emerged as the winner of the Democratic primary, Politico reported that the Prince George’s County executive was on the precipice of making history as Maryland’s first black senator.

It was a theme that went across the media spectrum, dismissing Hogan’s chances despite the fact that a Hogan victory would be a little history-making as well because it’s been decades since a Republican has won a Senate seat in Maryland.

While there has been no fresh polling in the past month, there is no indication Hogan is astronomically or even slightly behind Alsobrooks in voters’ minds. Indeed, he may even be ahead.