The division, anarchy, and turmoil in the Idlib region undoubtedly present a golden opportunity for control in Damascus, which may not return. Now Assad's army could potentially enter the region with significant support to restore it to the embrace of the regime, after almost a decade of neglect. However, this would require substantial support forces. For the occupation of Idlib, a significant asset for the Assad regime in particular, and the "resistance axis" in general, Iran would need to send substantial forces. These forces mainly include Shi'ite Popular Mobilization Unit militias from Iraq and Hezbollah forces from Lebanon. However, Hezbollah cannot afford a two-front war.

Now, Iran's axis of resistance, the Syrian regime, and Shi'ite militias face a crossroads: whether to continue the war in the Israeli arena or redirect forces to northern Syria? In the case of the Israel front, it is a purposeless war with Hezbollah already suffering over 230 casualties and no achievements against the highly motivated and prepared IDF. In the case of Idlib, however, it presents an opportunity for a significant strategic victory against the disintegrating opposition.