Yes, Virginia, There is a Big Election Next Week

Suppose Republicans manage to hold the House of Delegates and flip the Senate. In that case, Youngkin will have a mandate to enact more common-sense conservative priorities — including tax cuts, abortion limits, the eradication of onerous left-wing energy mandates, and expansion of nuclear — over the final two years of his time in the governor’s mansion. {Virginia uniquely prohibits its chief executive from serving consecutive terms.}

Youngkin, who, despite sophistry from opponents, is not radical, has been successful legislatively and is known for his energetic, amiable style. He launched an early voting push this cycle, shattered previous governors’ fundraising records, and is in the weeds on the specifics of several races, according to his advisers. He is racing around the vast state supporting Republicans — some in unique races — amid a hectic final push.

With all seats in the General Assembly up for grabs Tuesday, Democrats currently have a very slim majority in the Senate, while the Republicans control the House. The election could see one or both chambers flip party control.

[New Jersey and Mississippi have state-wide elections next week too, but both of those states tend toward single-party dominance. Virginia matters more because of its battleground status, especially after Youngkin’s surprising win in 2021. We’ll be watching the races next Tuesday, but the impression thus far is that Dems feel the wind at their back at the moment. They felt that way two years ago, though. — Ed]