A North Carolina Democratic lawmaker is expected to flip her party affiliation, multiple Republicans with knowledge of the discussions tell Axios. …

One possible factor, though, is that Cotham recently skipped a vote to override Cooper’s veto of Republican-sponsored legislation relaxing some gun laws, handing Republicans the votes they needed to usher the bill into law.

That set into motion a cascade of blowback against Cotham, driven by Democrats criticizing her for not showing.

[Sometimes politics is about discipline, and sometimes it’s about measuring it wisely. — Ed]