Why Hispanic voters could cost Democrats Nevada

Nevada should be the poster child for this trend. It’s now majority non-white. Dems control the governorship, both Senate seats and three out of four House seats, and they’ve won the state in four straight presidential elections.

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But as Teixiera notes, Democrats have actually been losing ground in the state: “Nevada went from three-tenths of percentage more Democratic than the nation as a whole in 2016 to 2 points more Republican in 2020.” Nevada Democrats’ margin among Hispanics dropped by 8 points between those two elections, and the decline “was driven almost entirely by working-class Hispanics.”

In other words: Democrats’ Hispanic voter problem is their working-class voter problem.

JESUS MARQUEZ has watched this change up close. The Las Vegas-based consultant and radio host was a member of the national Latinos for Trump board in 2016, when the idea of such a group was treated as a joke by many political pundits.

He now advises the Laxalt campaign. And nobody is laughing at his Latinos for Laxalt events. “We had close to a hundred Latinos at the last one,” he told me. “These were all new faces. They were on fire.” A March survey from the Democratic firm Blueprint Polling showed that Laxalt and Cortez Masto were tied among Nevada’s Hispanic voters.

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