The capriciousness of ranked choice voting is revealed in NYC

The odds are still that Adams emerges the victor, albeit by a much reduced margin. But the mere fact that a clear Adams plurality on Election Day is going to end as a squeaker should raise eyebrows. That's particularly the case since it's only a squeaker at all because of the order in which candidates dropped out. Until Yang's votes were allocated, Maya Wiley was clearly in second place. His votes put Garcia ahead of Wiley — but only by half a percent. If Wiley had held on to second place, and Garcia's votes had been reallocated instead, far more of them would have gone to Adams than was the case with Wiley's. In the unlikely event, then, that Wiley wins more absentee ballots than Garcia, and comes in second in the penultimate tally, the perverse result will be to throw the election decisively to Adams — even though Wiley's voters overwhelmingly prefer Garcia to Adams.
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