The biggest political worry is growing pessimism that Senate will pass SB1, the voting rights bill that would negate many of the voter suppression laws that Republican state legislatures have passed.
If it doesn’t pass, Democrats’ electoral woes mount, when they are already facing partisan gerrymandering and the usual losses for the party in power in the first midterm of a new president. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi only has a four-seat margin in the House, and Republicans already are eyeing the 2023 majority chairs. The odds on the Senate, currently 50-50, are even.
Democratic pollster Fred Yang told me he worries that Democratic voters may “be burned out after four years of Trump, and probably logically feeling less intense or oppositional since we have a Democratic president and Democratic Congress. But Republicans are very angry and more engaged because a majority of them believe the election was stolen.” That last, of course, is a lie.
There may be offsets.
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