The consequences of Biden

The Democratic Congress and the Biden White House will have a similar dynamic on hot-button issues such as guns and immigration. A President Biden might say he wants a unifying, bipartisan bill, but the consequential question will be how much he’s willing to say “no” to his own party. Biden told Beto O’Rourke during his endorsement ceremony, “You’re going to take care of the gun problem with me. You’re going to be the one who leads this effort” — which certainly suggests Biden has no serious qualms about gun confiscation.

Biden has pledged to expand asylum claims and restore the “catch and release” system during reviews of asylum claims, to “create a roadmap to citizenship for the nearly 11 million people who have been living in and strengthening our country for years,” reinstate DACA, and cease all construction of border fencing — and the considerable authority of the president in immigration matters means he will not need approval from Congress. It is likely that migrants in Mexico and Central America would perceive Biden’s moves as a de facto amnesty policy.

If Biden is elected, you will see a serious push for statehood for Puerto Rico and the District of Columbia. Biden supports both. Biden does not support expanding the size of the Supreme Court or eliminating the Electoral College, but many members of his party do, and it is fair to wonder how much political capital Biden will want to spend in fights against his own party.

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