With Biden, the presumptive Democratic nominee, topping 50 percent in many swing state polls four years after Hillary Clinton struggled to reach that threshold, Trump will need more than a surge in hidden support to win in November, said David Wasserman, House editor of the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.
“I’d expect the shy-Trump-voter phenomenon to be less of a factor than it was in 2016,” he said. “There’s no doubt 2020 is a much different picture than 2016. Biden’s lead is broad across the battleground, and it’s more stable than Clinton’s was in 2016.”…
Though Trump has continued to use inflammatory rhetoric in office, Americans are less likely to hide their views about whether he deserves a second term, Enns said.
“Maybe for some people it’s ‘Okay I can’t vote for him again, I can’t vote for him again,’ and then when they walk into the polling booth, who knows?” he said. “But the fact that we’re seeing a lower percentage of undecideds and not sures now compared to 2016 suggests that it’s less likely to be the case.”
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