How the polls broke at the end

This, too, is almost presidential-level turnout; not quite, as each of the last three Republican presidential candidates cleared 2 million votes. There’s been a huge surge in new voter registrations over the past few years in Georgia, and it’s a disproportionately younger, non-white electorate — a trouble sign if Republicans don’t have a good plan to appeal to those voters. But as in Florida, even in a hostile environment and against a turnout surge, Brian Kemp held on.

In the end, the statewide races showed that Republicans could break the historic trends that typically attend wave elections, even amidst heavy losses in the House. But in contrast to 2016, when many down-ticket Republicans ran ahead of Trump by winning in areas where he was doing badly (mainly suburbia), they did so by circling the wagons around the Trump base areas. It will take more election cycles to tell whether that type of strategy is an effective defense at breaking waves.