In this scenario, Clinton narrowly wins North Carolina on the strength of early voting. But the exit polls on Election Day show her losing not only North Carolina, but nationally — and, most important, she loses Michigan and New Hampshire, where all the voting happened on Election Day. Clinton would have won the election, but the GOP could — and certainly would — make a credible claim that by Nov. 8 the electorate had “changed its mind.”
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People are already worried about whether Trump will respect the process and concede if he loses. But in the foregoing scenario, you can be certain that not only he but his entire party would decry the result as frankly illegitimate. Clinton’s presidency would be over before it even began.
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