2. On Election Day it is highly likely that the winning coalition of each major-party nominee would set a record low in demographic diversity. Mr. Trump could win this election with 43% of the total vote (due to a large percentage of votes going to third- and fourth-party candidates) by netting fewer votes among non-whites than any candidate has in a century. It is possible for him to win this election with only 20% support among all non-whites. Mrs. Clinton could win by netting fewer white votes than any candidate since Walter Mondale or George McGovern lost in landslides. She could win even if she gets only a third of the white vote. The larger issue is, as with the candidates’ low trust and likeability numbers, that these data points could figure in an election victory but do not set up a standard for governing a diverse country from coast to coast. Some large group of voters is going to feel left out no matter who wins.