Why the GOP should worry about Hillary's poll numbers

The numbers show Republicans may have a hard road ahead. Across the types for which we had sufficient numbers for a sample — dense Big Cities, wealthy, diverse Urban Suburbs, and sprawling Exurbs — figures for Clinton look eerily similar to those Obama scored in his re-election effort.

We also collected numbers from a group of less-populated rural communities groups — counties ACP calls Rural Middle America, Graying America and the Aging Farmlands. These numbers show the familiar splits that favor Republicans.

You can see a map of all the types on this page.

But the over-riding point is that at this early stage of 2016, the electorate looks very similar in its 2012 patterns when you compare Hillary Clinton to the top three GOP competitors.