There will be a Supreme Court vacancy in 2015. The court will rule the Affordable Care Act does not allow premium subsidies in states without their own insurance exchanges. Appeals courts will hold the president lacked authority for his executive memos on immigration.
Immigration and terrorism concerns will strengthen European populist parties. Vladimir Putin will try destabilizing yet another country. Islamic State will expand beyond Syria and Iraq. Iranian nuclear talks will drag on inconclusively or produce an unsatisfactory deal. The Afghan conflict will intensify, and with only one major base left (Bagram), the U.S. will not be able to project its power effectively throughout the country. Cuba will be as repressive at year’s end as at the year’s beginning. Bibi will narrowly survive as Israeli prime minister.
Ohio State will defeat Oregon, the Seahawks again will win the Super Bowl, Aaron Rodgers will be the NFL’s MVP, and Tiger Woods will go another year without a major championship. “American Sniper,” Benedict Cumberbatch and Clint Eastwood will win Oscars. The British Royals will have a girl. Mr. Obama will play lots more golf.
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