Paul has yet to win a state and it is hard to figure out exactly what state he could win. Perhaps he could somehow pull off a win in some caucus in Alaska or somewhere similarly remote and irrelevant. But you don’t win the nomination by coming in fourth, third and occasionally second place in primary after primary. At some point, you actually have to win states.
After sitting down and taking time to really think of any scenario which would have Paul winning the GOP nomination, a path finally donned on me. If a meteor struck a Republican primary debate and eliminated all of Paul’s fellow contenders except for Paul, perhaps Paul could actually win the nomination — provided ballot deadlines had past for most states, of course.
But if you actually think about it for a second longer, you begin to realize that even in this utterly absurd and unlikely scenario, Paul wouldn’t win the nomination. What would happen is that a mass of Republicans would rally around one or several of the incapacitated candidates still on state primary ballots in order to deny Paul the requisite delegates needed to win the nomination outright. Then a new candidate would be nominated over Paul at the Republican Convention after the first ballot proved inconclusive.
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