Perry leads Romney by five -- in Nevada

Nevada is supposed to be the one sure thing in Mitt Romney’s primary map; he took the state with 51 percent in 2008 and beat his nearest runner-up, Ron Paul, by nearly 40 points.
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Although it is very early, this is currently a two way race between Rick Perry and Mitt Romney in Nevada. Looking at responses by voter subgroup, we find male voters and seniors (voters aged 65 or older) leaning heavily towards Rick Perry. Among self-identified tea party “members,” which make up 49% of all respondents, Rick Perry has a 20 point lead over Mitt Romney.