My categories are meant to be soft. The lines between them get pretty blurry at the margins. This is really more of a working list I’m compiling for myself, which I’ve decided to share because of all the spin and faulty information out there.
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The first group I label, “Very Hard to Persuade,” i.e. it will be no little feat to bring that member from a nay to a yea. I put a member in there if:
(1) The member has communicated something negative about the Senate bill, or the pending House-Senate compromise.
(2) The member comes from a district where John McCain won 60% or more of the vote, and is running for reelection.
(3) The member has a lifetime National Right to Life Committee (NRLC) score greater than 80%.
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