Dems: How About a No Hakeems Day?

Democrat leadership cheered on the No Kings movement for the last few months. They encouraged the wannabe Robespierres to flood the streets, in some cases even bringing mock guillotines to encourage more political assassinations. Professionally printed signs offered a checklist of decapitated leaders, with Charles I and Louis XVI checked off, and you know who with an empty checkbox.

At least, we hope they were mock guillotines. Who knows what they'd do with a real one?

Now that Democrats have incited a bunch of wannabe Robespierres, they may be about to learn what happens to those who gin up a French Revolution. Axios reported today than the next generation of Democrats are taking aim at Democrat incumbents, with a new banner -- No Hakeems, and maybe No Chucks as well:

Democratic congressional candidates nationwide, feeding off voter fury, are raging against their leadership and vowing ruthlessness against their own establishment. ...

Axios interviewed dozens of Democratic congressional candidates — some challenging longtime Democratic incumbents, others running in open primaries in blue or purple seats.

What was consistent across many of those interviews was a notion that the Democratic party establishment has not met the moment since President Trump returned to office in January.

Jeffries has become a particular target, Axios notes, even though he's been cheerleading La Résistance all year long:

Dozens of Democratic candidates for U.S. House are refusing to commit — or outright declining — to vote for House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) as speaker or leader, as Axios reported Wednesday. ...

Many of the leading Democratic candidates in key battleground primaries are Jeffries loyalists or recruits. But it may only take a handful of renegades to frustrate leadership if he wins a small majority next year.

That would require Democrats to actually win the midterms. Normally, that would be the expected outcome for the party out of the White House, perhaps especially with an activist president like Donald Trump. The more one tries, the more potential for unhappiness arises when policies begin to get applied. In this cycle, the economy hasn't exactly gone gangbusters yet, and that may become a political problem for Trump unless we see a breakout in job creation sometime before the summer. 

With all of that said, however, Democrats should already be seeing boosts in their standing if the normal midterm unhappiness had begun to emerge. Instead, as Harry Enten has warned a couple of times this month, the opposite is happening. Democrat standing vis-à-vis Trump is eroding, not building. A month ago, Democrats had a 3.6-point advantage in the RCP aggregate average on the generic ballot; today, it's down to 1.6%, with the GOP at its highest aggregate average since mid-June. Trump's aggregate average on job approval hasn't much changed in those four months, but it's not worsening despite all of the No Kings hysteria. At 45.4/51.5, Trump has much better numbers than he did going into the 2018 midterms, and Democrats are waaaaay off their 2018 pace now. 

All of this speaks to the fact that Jeffries might have to face a leadership fight regardless of whether Democrats regain a House majority. Even if Democrats win, the Robespierres that Jeffries and Chuck Schumer have stirred up will come looking for them first. In fact, thanks to the pressure already building in these primaries, Jeffries may have to deal with some of these challenges in this session of Congress first.

That could be especially true when Democrats eventually cave on the Schumer Shutdown. Now that No Kings day has come and gone, there's not much point in holding out for very long. Republicans, and especially Trump, are doing quite well in this shutdown and are enjoying the latitude they have in shaping it how they see fit. They can keep this going as long as it takes, but Democrats are losing ground every day this goes on -- both politcally and on policy. When Democrats cave on the CR, these same Robespierres will bring pitchforks and torches in the direction of Jeffries and Schumer as well as toward the White House.

Editor’s Note: The Schumer Shutdown is here. Rather than put the American people first, Chuck Schumer, Hakeem Jeffries, and the radical Democrats forced a government shutdown for healthcare for illegals. They own this.

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