Remember how badly the pollsters missed the mark in 2016? In that cycle, pollsters were convinced that Hillary Clinton would not only win the overall election but that the “Blue Wall” — Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania — would act as a bulwark against Donald Trump.
To a lesser extent, the same pollsters missed their calls in 2020 too, although Joe Biden did win a very narrow victory over Trump. An expected win of significance for Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer — based on state polling — turned into a loss of seats for House Democrats and a backwards win for Schumer that was largely a gimme based on Republican disarray in Georgia.