Just how much trouble could this Mason-Dixon poll mean if it holds up over time? Unless Democrats nominate Joe Biden, they might have to concede Florida to Trump right off the bat. And that might not be the only state, if another Mason-Dixon survey holds up.
Of course, it’s not November 2020 yet, but … it is now 2020:
Statewide, Biden holds a narrow lead over Trump, with 47% of Florida voters backing him, 45% supporting the president and 8% undecided.
Trump currently has a clear advantage over his other top potential Democratic challengers. Statewide, Trump crushes Elizabeth Warren (51%-42%), has a relatively comfortable margin over Bernie Sanders (49%-44%) and a slimmer lead over Pete Buttigeig (49%-45%).